SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
52.79% ( 0.83) | 23.49% ( -0.29) | 23.72% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.5% ( 0.75) | 45.5% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% ( 0.71) | 67.83% ( -0.71) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.79% ( 0.59) | 17.21% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.51% ( 1.02) | 47.49% ( -1.03) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( -0.05) | 33.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( -0.06) | 69.85% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.78% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.72% |
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