SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
61.49% ( 0.51) | 20.11% ( -0.23) | 18.4% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.6) | 37.12% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.68% ( 0.64) | 59.32% ( -0.64) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% ( 0.32) | 11.65% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.29% ( 0.68) | 36.71% ( -0.69) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( 0.06) | 33.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( 0.07) | 70.18% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.32% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 18.4% |
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