SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
43.9% ( -0.01) | 23.48% | 32.61% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.3% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.01) | 39.33% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.01) | 61.67% ( 0) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( -0.01) | 18.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.66% ( -0.01) | 49.34% ( 0.01) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -0) | 23.76% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% | 57.91% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.61% |
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