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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 44.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
44.23% ( 0.23) | 28.08% ( 0.04) | 27.7% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.59% ( -0.25) | 60.4% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.45% ( -0.19) | 80.55% ( 0.19) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( 0) | 27.2% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( 0) | 62.61% ( 0) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% ( -0.36) | 38% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% ( -0.35) | 74.76% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.84% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.7% |
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