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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
HL

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Klostermann (34'), Forsberg (70'), Simakan (74')
Haidara (40'), Simons (62'), Klostermann (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kabak (42')
Kabak (62'), Grillitsch (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Young Boys
Wednesday, December 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim

A refreshed Leipzig outfit will be confident of extending their winning run this weekend against a depleted Hoffenheim side, who have struggled in their recent meetings with Die Roten Bullen. The attacking prowess of Leipzig has somewhat papered over the cracks of their defensive frailties of late, and we can envisage their frontline outscoring Hoffenheim once again en route to claiming maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
64.51% (0.0019999999999953 0) 18.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 16.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.45% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)32.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.18% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)53.82% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)9.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.79% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)32.11% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)68.59% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.51%
    Hoffenheim 16.92%
    Draw 18.56%
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-1 @ 7.54%
1-0 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.91%
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.09%
5-0 @ 1.84%
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 64.51%
1-1 @ 8.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.56%
1-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.96%
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 16.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Young Boys
Wednesday, December 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Man City 3-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, December 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, November 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal


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