SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
68.41% ( -0.95) | 18.99% ( 0.47) | 12.59% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 48.23% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( -0.87) | 43.89% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( -0.85) | 66.28% ( 0.85) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.23% ( -0.5) | 11.77% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.04% ( -1.09) | 36.95% ( 1.09) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.66% ( 0.25) | 45.34% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.8% ( 0.2) | 81.2% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.42% Total : 68.4% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.99% | 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.59% |
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