SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Portland Timbers |
61.7% ( -0.42) | 19.61% ( 0.17) | 18.69% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 61.17% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.8% ( -0.41) | 34.2% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.91% ( -0.47) | 56.09% ( 0.48) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.28% ( -0.22) | 10.73% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.33% ( -0.51) | 34.67% ( 0.52) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( -0) | 31.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.13% ( -0) | 67.87% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.07% Total : 61.7% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.61% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 18.69% |
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