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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
68.96% ( -0.12) | 17.29% ( 0.1) | 13.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.5) | 32.85% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.45% ( -0.57) | 54.55% ( 0.57) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.36% ( -0.16) | 8.64% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.21% ( -0.38) | 29.79% ( 0.37) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( -0.32) | 36.43% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.78% ( -0.32) | 73.21% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 68.96% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.29% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 13.75% |
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