Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.13) 
