SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Danubio |
32.16% ( -0) | 29.12% ( 0) | 38.72% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.16% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.49% ( -0) | 62.51% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.89% ( -0) | 82.11% ( 0) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( -0) | 35.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( -0) | 72.46% ( 0) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( 0) | 31.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( 0) | 67.69% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.04% Total : 32.15% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.11% | 0-1 @ 12.97% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.99% Total : 38.71% |
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