SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Nacional |
21.82% ( -0.01) | 25.29% ( -0) | 52.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.48% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.34% ( -0.01) | 54.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.01% ( -0) | 75.99% ( 0) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( -0.01) | 40.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% ( -0.01) | 76.78% ( 0.01) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( 0) | 20.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.74% ( 0) | 53.26% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.82% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.31% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.41% 0-3 @ 5.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
