Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2

Jun 18, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
River Plate

Gigliotti (26'), Zabala (57'), Lozano (80')
Candido (66'), Rodriguez (71'), Coelho (84')
Candido (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Napoli (8'), Brunelli (30'), Pereira (63'), Ichazo (64')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	River Plate
60.36% ( 0.17)	23.37% ( -0.15)	16.27% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 44.06% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.53% (

0.49)

54.47% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.17% (

0.41)

75.83% (

-0.41)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.26% (

0.24)

17.74% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.58% (

0.41)

48.41% (

-0.42)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.56% (

0.26)

46.44% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.94% (

0.2)

82.06% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Nacional 60.35%

River Plate 16.27%

Draw 23.36%

Nacional	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 60.35%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.36%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 16.27%