SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.97%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
9.4% ( -0.08) | 15.66% ( -0.04) | 74.93% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.57% ( -0.07) | 37.43% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( -0.08) | 59.65% ( 0.08) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.08% ( -0.21) | 46.92% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.58% ( -0.16) | 82.42% ( 0.16) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.54% ( 0.01) | 8.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.65% ( 0.02) | 29.35% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.4% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.66% | 0-2 @ 12.1% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 9.97% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 4.66% ( -0)0-5 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.38% Total : 74.93% |
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