SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
28.78% ( -0.26) | 24.57% ( -0.08) | 46.65% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( 0.2) | 46.24% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( 0.19) | 68.53% ( -0.2) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.08) | 29.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.3% ( -0.09) | 65.7% ( 0.09) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( 0.22) | 19.91% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.96% ( 0.36) | 52.04% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.78% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.65% |
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