SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 71.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.01%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
71.42% ( -0.26) | 18.31% ( 0.12) | 10.26% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.74% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( -0.12) | 47.03% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( -0.11) | 69.27% ( 0.11) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% ( -0.1) | 11.85% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.88% ( -0.23) | 37.11% ( 0.23) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.48% ( 0.2) | 51.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.31% ( 0.14) | 85.68% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 2-0 @ 13.88% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.06% Total : 71.41% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 18.31% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 10.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
