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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Imtech Arena
RA

Shakhtar
1 - 0
Antwerp

Matviyenko (12')
Gocholeishvili (83'), Riznyk (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coulibaly (30'), Kerk (45+1'), Muja (90+4')
Muja (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shakhtar 0-0 Polissya
Friday, November 24 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 1-1 Antwerp
Friday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 Royal Antwerp

Shakhtar were impressive against Barcelona last time out in the competition, and we are expecting them to have too much for Antwerp in this match. The visitors certainly have enough quality to cause problems on Tuesday, but Shakhtar should be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRoyal Antwerp
37.58% (1.541 1.54) 24.51% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07) 37.91% (-1.468 -1.47)
Both teams to score 59.56% (0.375 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (0.44 0.44)43.35% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (0.433 0.43)65.74% (-0.432 -0.43)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (1.019 1.02)22.91% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (1.479 1.48)56.67% (-1.479 -1.48)
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.542 -0.54)22.74% (0.543 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (-0.813 -0.81)56.42% (0.812 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 37.58%
    Royal Antwerp 37.91%
    Draw 24.51%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRoyal Antwerp
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.202 0.2)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.225 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.218 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.114 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.189 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.303 -0.3)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-0 Polissya
Friday, November 24 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-3 Dnipro-1
Sunday, November 12 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Shakhtar
Friday, November 3 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Shakhtar
Wednesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shakhtar 3-0 Cherkasy
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 1-1 Antwerp
Friday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 6-0 Standard Liege
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Antwerp
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Antwerp 3-2 Genk
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-1 Antwerp
Sunday, October 29 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-4 Porto
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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