SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 8.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
76.61% ( 0.29) | 14.55% ( -0.16) | 8.83% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.25% ( 0.36) | 33.75% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.41% ( 0.41) | 55.58% ( -0.4) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.75% ( 0.14) | 7.25% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.73% ( 0.36) | 26.26% ( -0.36) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.46% ( -0.02) | 45.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.64% ( -0.02) | 81.35% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 76.61% | 1-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.92% Total : 14.55% | 1-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 8.83% |
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