SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
47.64% ( -2.57) | 23.58% ( 0.26) | 28.77% ( 2.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.73% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% ( 0.47) | 41.77% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.82% ( 0.47) | 64.17% ( -0.48) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( -0.8) | 17.74% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.57% ( -1.39) | 48.43% ( 1.39) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( 1.89) | 27.38% ( -1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( 2.39) | 62.84% ( -2.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.55)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.4) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.77% |
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