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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
72.64% ( -0.12) | 16.63% ( 0.28) | 10.73% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( -1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( -1.9) | 37.91% ( 1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( -2.05) | 60.17% ( 2.05) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% ( -0.5) | 9.1% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.1% ( -1.21) | 30.9% ( 1.21) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.35% ( -1.58) | 44.65% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.35% ( -1.3) | 80.65% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.65)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 5.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17)6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.12% Total : 72.64% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.63% | 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.73% |
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