Carlisle United will have a renewed sense of optimism from last weekend's win, but Stevenage have momentum on their side following their promotion and fine start to the new campaign, and we see them having too much for the Cumbrians on home turf.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
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