SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
47.26% ( 0.2) | 24.61% ( -0.08) | 28.13% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.27) | 46.79% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( 0.25) | 69.05% ( -0.25) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( 0.19) | 19.87% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( 0.31) | 51.98% ( -0.31) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( 0.05) | 30.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% ( 0.06) | 66.6% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 47.26% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.13% |
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