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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.62%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 4.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Newtown AFC |
86.62% ( -0.46) | 8.98% ( 0.27) | 4.39% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.56% ( -0.58) | 23.43% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.16% ( -0.78) | 42.84% ( 0.78) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.43% ( -0.16) | 3.57% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.55% ( -0.52) | 15.45% ( 0.52) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.94% ( 0.2) | 50.06% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.3% ( 0.13) | 84.7% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 3-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.52% Total : 86.62% | 1-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.71% Total : 8.98% | 1-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.73% Total : 4.39% |
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