Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
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