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Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
AF

Toronto
2 - 1
Austin

Osorio (7'), Kerr (30')
Laryea (63'), O'Neill (70'), Johnson (74'), Thompson (77'), Mabika (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wolff (75')
Hines-Ike (5'), Driussi (22'), Valencia (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 1-3 DC United
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 Austin FC

It has not always been pretty to watch, but Toronto always seem to find a way to remain in a playoff position, and we believe they will continue that trend against a side that have been rather poor in the attacking third all year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toronto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Toronto.

Result
TorontoDrawAustin FC
51.29% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.3%25.41% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 57.76% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (0.0039999999999978 0)43.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (0.0049999999999955 0)65.47% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 51.29%
    Austin FC 25.41%
    Draw 23.3%
TorontoDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toronto 1-3 DC United
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-3 Toronto
Friday, August 9 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Toronto
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Toronto (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Austin
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Austin
Thursday, August 8 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Monterrey 0-2 Austin
Wednesday, July 31 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Pumas 2-3 Austin
Saturday, July 27 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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