SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
34.18% ( 0.39) | 24.97% ( 0.07) | 40.85% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.12% ( -0.24) | 45.88% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.81% ( -0.23) | 68.19% ( 0.23) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( 0.12) | 25.97% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( 0.16) | 60.98% ( -0.16) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( -0.33) | 22.39% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( -0.49) | 55.89% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.18% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.85% |
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