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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
AN

Venezuela
1 - 1
Argentina

Rondon (65')
Andres Martinez (32'), Batista (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Otamendi (13')
Pezzella (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 10 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Argentina
Tuesday, September 10 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Venezuela 0-2 Argentina

Going away anywhere in South America is rarely straightforward, but Argentina have won three of their four games on the road in qualifying so far, and are clear favourites to claim another. Venezuela have proven a tough nut to crack on home soil, as they are still unbeaten in four qualifiers, but they are yet to face a side with the quality of Argentina, and their attacking deficiencies could cost them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.82%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
VenezuelaDrawArgentina
18.26% (-0.654 -0.65) 25.07% (0.463 0.46) 56.67% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 43.09% (-2.243 -2.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.23% (-2.419 -2.42)57.77% (2.422 2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.49% (-1.948 -1.95)78.51% (1.951 1.95)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (-2.2 -2.2)45.88% (2.203 2.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.37% (-1.766 -1.77)81.63% (1.769 1.77)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.87 -0.87)20.39% (0.873 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.19% (-1.406 -1.41)52.81% (1.409 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 18.26%
    Argentina 56.66%
    Draw 25.07%
VenezuelaDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.227 0.23)
2-1 @ 4.52% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.17% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 18.26%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.35% (0.831 0.83)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.314 -0.31)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 14.87% (0.95 0.95)
0-2 @ 11.82% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-3 @ 6.27% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-4 @ 2.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 10 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 4-0 Venezuela
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Venezuela
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Mexico
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-2 Venezuela
Saturday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Argentina
Tuesday, September 10 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Chile
Friday, September 6 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Colombia
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Wednesday, July 10 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 1-1 Ecuador (4-2 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America


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