Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.82%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Venezuela | Draw | Argentina |
18.26% ( -0.65) | 25.07% ( 0.46) | 56.67% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 43.09% ( -2.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.23% ( -2.42) | 57.77% ( 2.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.49% ( -1.95) | 78.51% ( 1.95) |
Venezuela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.12% ( -2.2) | 45.88% ( 2.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.37% ( -1.77) | 81.63% ( 1.77) |
Argentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( -0.87) | 20.39% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.19% ( -1.41) | 52.81% ( 1.41) |
Score Analysis |
Venezuela | Draw | Argentina |
1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.51% Total : 18.26% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 14.87% ( 0.95) 0-2 @ 11.82% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.22) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.66% |
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