SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 0-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
20.88% ( 0.16) | 20.62% | 58.5% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.3% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.26% ( 0.23) | 35.73% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.19% ( 0.26) | 57.8% ( -0.26) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( 0.28) | 30.3% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% ( 0.34) | 66.47% ( -0.34) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.95% ( 0.02) | 12.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.45% ( 0.06) | 37.54% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 20.88% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 6.89% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.64% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 58.5% |
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