Sporting have found wins hard to come by of late, but they will fancy their chances of seeing off the threat of an out-of-sorts Vitoria side. We are backing the away side to emerge triumphant in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
