SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
27.5% ( 0) | 21.66% ( -0) | 50.84% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.73% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.55% ( -0) | 33.44% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.76% | 55.23% ( -0.01) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( -0) | 23.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.8% ( 0) | 58.19% ( -0.01) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( -0.01) | 13.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.37% ( -0) | 40.63% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 6.62% 1-0 @ 4.64% 2-0 @ 3.31% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.17% 2-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.96% Total : 50.84% |
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