SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
57.14% ( 0.04) | 22.22% ( -0.04) | 20.64% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.48% ( 0.19) | 43.52% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( 0.18) | 65.91% ( -0.18) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( 0.08) | 15% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.53% ( 0.14) | 43.47% ( -0.14) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( 0.11) | 34.99% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% ( 0.11) | 71.74% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 57.14% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.64% |
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