Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 10.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Arsenal Tula
72.81%	16.45%	10.74%

Both teams to score 51.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.97%

37.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.77%

59.22%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.16%

8.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.72%

30.27%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.96%

44.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.84%

80.15%

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 72.8%

Arsenal Tula 10.74%

Draw 16.45%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Arsenal Tula
2-0 @ 11.45% 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 9.27% 3-1 @ 7.6% 4-0 @ 5.62% 4-1 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 3.12% 5-0 @ 2.73% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.89% 6-0 @ 1.1% 5-2 @ 0.92% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.52% Total : 72.8%	1-1 @ 7.74% 0-0 @ 3.89% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.97% Total : 16.45%	0-1 @ 3.19% 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.01% Total : 10.74%