Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 46.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 26.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
