Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
