Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
