Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
