Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
