Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw has a probability of 21.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it is 1-2 (5.59%).
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
57.18% ( 0.08) | 21.79% ( 0.03) | 21.03% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% ( -0.25) | 41.03% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% ( -0.26) | 63.42% ( 0.26) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.85% ( -0.06) | 14.15% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.18% ( -0.12) | 41.82% ( 0.12) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% ( -0.24) | 33.19% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% ( -0.26) | 69.79% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 57.18% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 21.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: