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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
vs.
Caernarfon

 
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barry 3-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Briton Ferry 0-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw has a probability of 21.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it is 1-2 (5.59%).

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
57.18% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 21.79% (0.026 0.03) 21.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-0.249 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97% (-0.253 -0.25)41.03% (0.257 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58% (-0.259 -0.26)63.42% (0.264 0.26)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.85% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)14.15% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.18% (-0.116 -0.12)41.82% (0.121 0.12)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (-0.241 -0.24)33.19% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (-0.264 -0.26)69.79% (0.268 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 57.18%
    Caernarfon Town 21.03%
    Draw 21.78%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.98% (0.065 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.86% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 57.18%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 21.03%

Form Guide
Last Game: Barry 3-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 New Saints
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Briton Ferry
Sunday, October 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Briton Ferry 0-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-5 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-4 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Newtown
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League


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