SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads has a probability of 35.59% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win is 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.72%).
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
37.64% ( 0.2) | 26.76% ( -0.02) | 35.59% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% ( 0.07) | 53.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% ( 0.06) | 74.96% ( -0.06) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( 0.15) | 27.52% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( 0.19) | 63.03% ( -0.19) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( -0.08) | 28.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( -0.1) | 64.58% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.63% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.59% |
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