SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Gimnasia |
54.6% ( -0.05) | 25.71% ( 0.01) | 19.69% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% ( -0.02) | 58.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.05% ( -0.01) | 78.95% ( 0.01) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( -0.03) | 21.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.52% ( -0.04) | 54.48% ( 0.03) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.46% ( 0.02) | 44.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.44% ( 0.02) | 80.56% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 14.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.58% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.69% |
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