Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
