Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Alianza Lima
52.39%	22.29%	25.31%

Both teams to score 61.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.53%

38.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.24%

60.76%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.18%

14.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.89%

43.11%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85%

28.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17%

63.83%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 52.39%

Alianza Lima 25.31%

Draw 22.29%

Fortaleza	Draw	Alianza Lima
2-1 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.93% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.12% Total : 52.39%	1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 6.4% 0-1 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.57% Total : 25.31%