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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
30.37% ( 0.62) | 23.31% ( 0.19) | 46.31% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 61.77% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( -0.54) | 39.54% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.11% ( -0.57) | 61.89% ( 0.56) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.12) | 25.21% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( 0.17) | 59.95% ( -0.18) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( -0.52) | 17.4% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( -0.92) | 47.82% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.37% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.99% Total : 46.31% |
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