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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%).
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
44.94% ( 0.03) | 22.23% ( 0) | 32.83% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 67.12% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.94% ( -0.03) | 33.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.21% ( -0.03) | 54.8% ( 0.03) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( -0) | 15.4% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.79% ( -0) | 44.21% ( 0) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.03) | 20.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( -0.05) | 53.25% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.15% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.88% Total : 32.83% |
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