Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
-0.57) 
0.78) 
