SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
46.69% ( 1.62) | 25.73% ( -0.11) | 27.58% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.37) | 51.84% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( -0.32) | 73.59% ( 0.32) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( 0.59) | 22.19% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( 0.87) | 55.6% ( -0.88) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( -1.34) | 33.46% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% ( -1.5) | 70.09% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.58% |
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