After a patchy start to the season and some unsettling off-pitch turmoil, a fresh face in the dugout could yield immediate results for Napoli. Renowned for his team of Edinson Cavani, Ezequiel Lavezzi and Marek Hamsik, returning coach Mazzarri is still well regarded in Naples and could help the Partenopei earn a point against tough-to-beat Atalanta.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
