Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.03) 
