While Gremio continue to battle the drop and have a very poor away record this season, they have begun to show signs of life in recent weeks, and we feel they will continue their upward trajectory by claiming a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Gremio
53.74% ( -0.24)	25.01% ( 0.08)	21.25% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 47.54% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.8% (

-0.13)

54.2% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

-0.11)

75.61% (

0.11)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

-0.15)

20.15% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.57% (

-0.24)

52.43% (

0.23)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.54% (

0.09)

40.46% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.93% (

0.08)

77.07% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 53.73%

Gremio 21.25%

Draw 25%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 13.05% 2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 53.73%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.25%