SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
33.54% ( -4.48) | 22.42% ( -0.46) | 44.04% ( 4.94) |
| Both teams to score 66.7% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.27% ( 1.48) | 33.73% ( -1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.44% ( 1.66) | 55.56% ( -1.67) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( -1.51) | 20.6% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -2.44) | 53.15% ( 2.43) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( 2.62) | 15.99% ( -2.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( 4.6) | 45.31% ( -4.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.66) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.68)2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.76)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.55)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.52)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.3)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.92% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.68)2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.36)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.57)1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.49)2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.31)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.37)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.82% Total : 44.04% |
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