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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
LL

Bayern
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Pavlovic (39')
Upamecano (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Andrich (31')
Alonso (23'), Andrich (32'), Wirtz (57'), Grimaldo (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Bayern have been incredible from an offensive perspective this season, and given Leverkusen's defensive vulnerability this term, they could plausibly create numerous goalscoring opportunities. Alonso's side have been strong offensively themselves, but while the likes of Wirtz and Boniface may score, it is difficult to see how they can win if Bayern are as strong offensively on Saturday as they have been in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
48.47% (-4.191 -4.19) 23.22% (1.243 1.24) 28.31% (2.948 2.95)
Both teams to score 60.66% (-1.737 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.6% (-3.474 -3.47)40.4% (3.473 3.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22% (-3.67 -3.67)62.77% (3.67 3.67)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09% (-2.716 -2.72)16.9% (2.716 2.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.04% (-5.057 -5.06)46.95% (5.056 5.06)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.285 0.28)26.99% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.372 0.37)62.34% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 48.47%
    Bayer Leverkusen 28.31%
    Draw 23.22%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.553 0.55)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.39 -0.39)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.56 -0.56)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.447 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.35 -0.35)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.801 0.8)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.692 0.69)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.578 0.58)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.948 0.95)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.647 0.65)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.294 0.29)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 9-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Bayern
Sunday, August 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-0 Grasshopper
Tuesday, August 20 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-4 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Carl Zeiss 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, August 28 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Friday, August 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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